Thursday, October 31, 2013

Mortgage Servicer Ocwen Eyes Other Consumer Debt

NEW YORK (TheStreet) --Ocwen Financial  (OCN) one of the nation's largest collectors of mortgage debt, is considering branching out into other types of consumer debt collection.

"That's something that we are looking because we're generating substantial amount of excess cash flow in Ocwen," Chairman Bill Erbey told TheStreet during one of several interviews for this profile published Wednesday. "We haven't told anybody publicly what that would be," he added.

Investor Wilbur Ross, who sits on Ocwen's board of directors, believes such an expansion would be a natural fit.

"When you think about what the skill sets are, it's managing very complex interactions with consumers under very stressful circumstances, mainly default, and doing it with a lot of, I don't want to say entry level, but almost entry level people, and doing it on a vast scale, and along the way managing that process in two continents, mainly the Americas and India. So those are skill sets that are pretty rare, and pretty valuable. There are all sorts of other consumer debt instruments that I have no doubt that they could service. So even if something were to go slow with mortgage servicing, I think there are plenty of other opportunities. Consumer's finance is not going to go away, and there aren't that many people that are good at it," Ross says.

Ocwen reported third quarter earnings Thursday, though the issue did not come up on a conference call with analysts and investors.

Rick Biggs, partner at New York-based hedge fund Consector Capital, which owns Ocwen shares, sees an opening for Ocwen in consumer debt collection. He says Portfolio Recovery Associates, Inc.  (PRAA) and Encore Capital Group  (ECPG) "are the best and at this point almost the only real solid operators so there is room I think for a little more competition." (PRAA) But Zach Gast, analyst with research firm CFRA, believes collecting consumer debt be a more difficult transition for Ocwen than it may seem on the surface. That's because non-mortgage-related consumer debt collecting is based on a different business model. First of all, the amounts involved are smaller, meaning lots of investment in infrastructure for a relatively small payoff. "Mortgage is the one that's a huge debt. It stays outstanding for 30 years. So if I've got to employ calling centers -- you know, vast automated systems to send out statements every month to certain customers and know the right timing and program all that in, that's very different when you're talking about a $500 credit card bill that's overdue," Gast says. The analyst adds, "if you think paperwork problems are difficult on a $150,000 mortgage, wait 'til you get a $500 credit card bill, where the consumer has probably disputed at least one of those charges." Consumer debt collectors tend to focus on buying debt that has already defaulted, which they buy for pennies on the dollar, Gast says.

According to its most recent 10-K, Portfolio Recovery Associates' portfolio of credit card debt, which was by far its largest segment, stood at $49.3 billion, in terms of the original amount that was owed. It had paid just over $1.9 billion for the chance to collect that debt. Anything it collects above that amount, minus expenses, would fall to the bottom line. By contrast, mortgage servicers such as Ocwen do not buy the debt. They buy what are known as mortgage servicing rights (MSRs), which entitles them to collect a fee in return for servicing the mortgage. Ocwen services both performing and non-performing loans, but its specialty is the non-performers. It is, in fact, the largest servicer of non-performing residential mortgages in the U.S. It services $130 billion worth of unpaid principal on outstanding mortgages, or 13% of the total $1 trillion in delinquent U.S. mortgages, more than Wells Fargo, Bank of America or JPMorgan Chase, according to data through June 30 from trade publication Inside Mortgage Finance.

--Written by Dan Freed in New York 


Follow @dan_freed

Wednesday, October 30, 2013

Twitter Is Sued Even Before Its IPO Hits the Market

Twitter IPOSoeren Stache, dpa/AP NEW YORK -- Twitter Inc. was sued for $124 million Wednesday by two companies that said the social media darling defrauded it into pushing forward with a doomed private sale of its shares to stoke investor interest for its initial public offering. In a lawsuit filed in U.S. District Court in Manhattan, Precedo Capital Group and Continental Advisors accused Twitter of using the aborted sale as a means to give the money-losing company a $10 billion market valuation and higher IPO price. "Twitter never intended to complete the offering on behalf of Twitter stockholders, in the private market, thereby causing substantial damages to the plaintiffs in the loss of commissions, fees and expenses, as well as through their business reputation," the lawsuit said. The financial firms seek $24.2 million of compensatory damages, $100 million of punitive damages, and other remedies. Jim Prosser, a spokesman for Twitter, didn't immediately respond to a request for comment. The lawsuit comes as anticipation builds for Twitter's IPO, widely considered the most highly awaited since Facebook Inc. (FB) went public in May 2012. Last week, the San Francisco-based company said it would offer its shares at between $17 and $20 each, valuing the company at up to about $11 billion. Twitter was holding its first large investor lunch in New York on Wednesday. Institutional investors who met with Twitter this week say they are optimistic about its upcoming IPO and see it as a more conservative offering than Facebook's splashy IPO. Like many Silicon Valley start-up companies, Twitter has paid employees and contractors using private stock. According to the lawsuit, it was worried about repeating some problems afflicting Facebook's $16 billion offering. In particular, the lawsuit said Twitter sought to avoid the potential for excess supply of company shares by controlling the buyers and sellers of those shares in the private market. Precedo, an Arizona-based broker dealer, and Continental, a Luxembourg financial adviser, said they were contacted by GSV Asset Management, an approved buyer of Twitter stock, about marketing a fund that could only purchase Twitter shares. GSV allegedly had negotiated an agreement with Twitter in which it would arrange the sale of up to $278 million of shares owned by employees and others, in blocks of $50 million. Precedo and Continental said they lined up commitments for the first $50 million block, and set up road shows in the United States, Europe and Asia where GSV managing partner Matthew Hanson disclosed material non-public information about Twitter. But they said Twitter eventually blocked the sale after learning that Precedo and Continental had attracted investors willing to pay $19 a share, considerably above the $17 or less offered in other private market transactions. The firms now say Twitter "never intended" to allow the private stock sales to go forward. "Twitter's intention was to induce Precedo Capital and Continental Advisors to create an artificial private market wherein Twitter could maintain that a private market existed at or about $19 per share for the Twitter stock," they said. The case is Precedo Capital Group Inc. v. Twitter Inc., U.S. District Court, Southern District of New York, No. 13-07678.

Monday, October 28, 2013

What Makes 3M Special?

With shares of 3M Company (NYSE:MMM) trading at around $110.61, is MMM an OUTPERFORM, WAIT AND SEE or STAY AWAY? Let's analyze the stock with the relevant sections of our CHEAT SHEET investing framework:

C = Catalyst for the Stock's Movement

The question in the title can be answered in one word: innovation. 3M is one of the most innovative companies on the planet, and that has been the case for a long time. For example, when Neil Armstrong took that one small step for man, the rubber sole on his boot was made by 3M. Therefore, it can be said that 3M was the first company to walk on the moon.

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Since that time, 3M has only increased its innovation. Most readers, if not all readers, will be familiar with at least one of their brands. These brands include Ace, Common, Filtrete, Futuro, Nexcare, Post-It, Scotch, Scotch-Brite, ScotchBlue, Scotchgard, and Tegaderm. 3M has also recently developed Scotch Recycled Corrugate Tape 3072, which is industrial tape that can be used for packaging corrugated boxes.

Sticking with the innovation theme, 3M has consistently delivered over the past several years. For instance, when the Chilean miners were trapped in 2010, a 3M mobile projector was used to help. Another example of impressive innovation by 3M allows an astronaut's heartbeat to be heard from earth. Also thanks to 3M, someone can receive a medical diagnosis from anywhere (opposed to a doctor's office) with a Littmann Stethoscope.

The ultimate point here is that consistent innovation means there will always be potential for growth. As an investor, that should be comforting. Yes, the stock was hit during the financial crisis, but it wasn't hit as hard as most stocks throughout the broader market. And it turned out to be a phenomenal buying opportunity. In other words, any significant drops in the stock price might present an opportunity to add to a position. And let's not forget the 2.30 percent yield. Not a bad bonus.

In regards to company culture, 71 percent of employees would recommend the company to a friend, and 94 percent of employees approve of CEO Inge G. Thulin. These are impressive numbers.

The chart below compares basic fundamentals for 3M, General Electric Company (NYSE:GE), and Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ).

MMM GE JNJ
Trailing P/E 17.45 17.51 23.01
Forward P/E 15.07 12.99 14.63
Profit Margin 14.80% 9.71% 15.22%
ROE 25.70% 12.17% 15.76%
Operating Cash Flow 5.47B 29.48B 14.88B
Dividend Yield 2.30% 3.30% 3.10%
Short Position 2.00% 0.90% 2.60%

Let's take a look at some more important numbers prior to forming an opinion on this stock.

T = Technicals Are Strong

3M has been a steady performer for decades.

1 Month Year-To-Date 1 Year 3 Year
MMM 3.30% 20.71% 37.04% 52.64%
GE 5.14% 13.98% 32.33% 59.11%
JNJ -0.26% 22.98% 42.06% 57.83%

At $110.61, 3M is trading above its averages.

50-Day SMA 108.41
200-Day SMA 101.63
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E = Equity to Debt Ratio Is Strong

The debt-to-equity ratio for 3M is stronger than the industry average of 1.10.

Debt-To-Equity Cash Long-Term Debt
MMM 0.32 4.38B 5.94B
GE 3.08 89.78B 397.41B
JNJ 0.24 21.67B 15.89B

E = Earnings Have Been Steady

It might sound repetitive, but steady is the name of the game for 3M. Savvy investors would want nothing else. You might not make 100 percent in six months like some popular growth stocks, but you don’t have to worry about a severe gap down overnight, either.

Fiscal Year 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Revenue ($) in millions 25,269 23,123 26,662 29,611 29,904
Diluted EPS ($) 4.89 4.52 5.63 5.96 6.32

Looking at the last quarter on a year-over-year basis, revenue and earnings have improved. Revenue and earnings also improved on a sequential basis.

Quarter Mar. 31, 2012 Jun. 30, 2012 Sep. 30, 2012 Dec. 31, 2012 Mar. 31, 2013
Revenue ($) in millions 7,486 7,534 7,497 7,387 7,634
Diluted EPS ($) 1.59 1.66 1.65 1.41 1.61

Now let's take a look at the next page for the Conclusion. Is this stock an OUTPERFORM, a WAIT AND SEE, or a STAY AWAY?

Conclusion

3M has strong margins, solid cash flow, quality debt management, a solid company culture, superb innovation, and it tends to focus on the bottom line. Investors looking for a steady, dividend-paying stock for the long haul should consider 3M.

Sunday, October 27, 2013

How Apple Will Benefit From the End of Smartphone Subsidies

Much of the attention surrounding the end of smartphone subsidies has been focused on the impact on wireless carriers. T-Mobile (NYSE: TMUS  ) is in the process of rolling out new plans, and there are rumors that Verizon (NYSE: VZ  ) will probably end subsidies soon as well; if so, AT&T (NYSE: T  ) will certainly be close behind. But how will smartphone makers such as Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL  ) be affected?

In the following interview with the Fool's Alison Southwick, Fool.com contributor Doug Ehrman discusses some of the potential impacts on Apple of the end of smartphone subsidies and why this might actually be good news for the iPhone maker.

A shift in the way wireless carriers do business may impact the fact that Apple has a history of cranking out revolutionary products -- and then creatively destroying them with something better. Read about the future of Apple in the free report, "Apple Will Destroy Its Greatest Product." Can Apple really disrupt its own iPhones and iPads? Find out by clicking here.

Saturday, October 26, 2013

What's the Most Popular Source for News? The Answer May Surprise You!

One hundred years ago, a newspaper was a precious commodity. There was no television, no radio, and no Internet where people could gather easy access to the world's most pressing events. You could almost say that with the advent of all three, we as a society have lost the importance of accessing news events.

However, what's been lost in scarcity has been replaced by gigantic dollar signs for the many television, newspaper, radio, and Internet companies that derive advertising and sponsorship money by featuring compelling news stories. Television has clearly become a more accessible content medium over the past 50 years, but content growth on the Internet is surging.

That's why I was so intrigued by Gallup's poll last week, which asked 2,048 adults to think about the various mediums for U.S. current event content distribution today and name how they most often keep up on current events. Before reading the answers, I would have ventured a guess that the Internet and television were in a dead heat, with newspapers and radio nearly tied with one another, but quite a way back. The results proved me wrong.

Here are the actual results broken down by Gallup as to where people turn for U.S. current events:

Where do Americans turn for news?

%

Television

55%

Internet

21%

Print

9%

Radio

6%

No opinion

3%

Word of mouth

2%

Other

2%

Media (non-specific)

1%

None/Don't follow the news

1%

Source: Gallup. 

I don't know about you, but I am utterly stunned by the disparity between television and the Internet. Understandably the Internet is only two decades old, so it's still in the process of maturing. In addition, age plays a significant role in how relevant current events are and what content medium is used. Young people aren't nearly as likely to keep up on current events as baby boomers are, and boomers are certainly more likely to get their current event content from TV rather than the Internet.

Source: Commons.wikimedia.org.

Who's winning on TV?
Understand that news is just one factor that drives viewership, but Fox and CNN are the two networks driving current-events viewership better than anyone else by a long shot.

With 7% of the 2,048 responses, Time Warner's (NYSE: TWX  ) CNN is doing a phenomenal job in captivating audiences. With this type of viewership comes significant pricing power, which Time Warner can use to charge top dollar for ads on CNN. The same can be said of 21st Century Fox (NASDAQ: FOX  ) , the recent spinoff of News Corp., which took the top honors with 8% of all responses. Not surprisingly, both cable operators have seen their stocks soaring of late, which both can attribute to strong pricing power.

Who's losing?
Even though it has multiple revenue sources, I was a bit discouraged to discover that CBS (NYSE: CBS  ) came in dead last among TV respondents, garnering less than 0.5% of the vote. Despite the poor showing among respondents, CBS must be doing something right with its other mediums (i.e., CBS Sports Network), because its first-quarter revenue and EBITDA were both records.

The potential for the Internet
Although the Internet was cited as the current-events news destination in just over one in five respondents, it is by far the fastest-growing content medium on the planet. We need only to look at Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO  ) and its gigantic front page transformation to get a good sense of how important the Internet is becoming in terms of news dissemination. New CEO Marissa Mayer has made focusing on mobile and driving portal traffic on Yahoo!'s home page one of her top priorities. Initial results seem to show that the redesign is paying off.

Perhaps the biggest disappointment in this respect is that the combination of Facebook (NASDAQ: FB  ) and Twitter garnered just 2% of the total votes. It's fairly obvious that both social-media networks have their roots in connecting friends and not necessarily on following the latest news stories, but even I suspected the figures for Facebook would be higher. Consider this an area where Facebook can look to beef up its future viewership.

Is there any hope left for print and radio?
Being honest with the trend that most content is moving to a digital platform and that TV prices are on a steady downslope, I say with some level of confidence that radio is in trouble. This isn't to say it'll be disappearing anytime soon, but the allure of radio broadcasting and its pricing power is no longer there in many aspects.

Source: Jon S., Flickr.

Newspapers may be on the decline as well, but the companies that run them still have a shot at transforming themselves through digital expansion and acquisitions. The New York Times, for instance, initiated a digital subscription plan in 2011 in an effort to expand its viewership, which had been in decline. Perhaps the most interesting move of late, though, came from Gannett, owner of USA Today, which announced the purchase of Belo for $1.5 billion to expand its broadcasting presence. We're seeing that TV still delivers the highest ad prices, which make purchasing mid-tier broadcasting companies a smart move for media giants such as Gannett.

Put bluntly, there's an all-out $2.2 trillion media war going on right now that pits cable companies such as Cox, Comcast, and Time Warner against technology giants such as Apple, Google, and Netflix. The Motley Fool's shocking video presentation reveals the secret Steve Jobs took to his grave and explains why the only real winners are these three lesser-known power players that film your favorite shows. Click here to watch today!

Friday, October 25, 2013

5 Stocks in Breakout Territory on Big Volume

DELAFIELD, Wis. (Stockpickr) -- Professional traders running mutual funds and hedge funds don't just look at a stock's price moves; they also track big changes in volume activity. Often when above-average volume moves into an equity, it precedes a large spike in volatility.

>>5 Stocks Insiders Love Right Now

Major moves in volume can signal unusual activity, such as insider buying or selling -- or buying or selling by "superinvestors."

Unusual volume can also be a major signal that hedge funds and momentum traders are piling into a stock ahead of a catalyst. These types of traders like to get in well before a large spike, so it's always a smart move to monitor unusual volume. That said, remember to combine trend and price action with unusual volume. Put them all together to help you decipher the next big trend for any stock.

>>5 Rocket Stocks to Buy Now

With that in mind, let's take a look at several stocks rising on unusual volume today.

NuStar Energy

NuStar Energy (NS) is engaged in the terminalling and storage of petroleum products, the transportation of petroleum products and anhydrous ammonia and asphalt and fuels marketing. This stock closed up 1.7% at $43.97 in Wednesday's trading session.

Wednesday's Volume: 1.13 million

Three-Month Average Volume: 425,063

Volume % Change: 195%

>>5 Stocks Poised for Breakouts

From a technical perspective, NS spiked modestly higher here with above-average volume. This stock has been uptrending strong for the last month and change, with shares pushing higher from its low of $36.15 to its intraday high of $44.81. During that uptrend, shares of NS have been consistently making higher lows and higher highs, which is bullish technical price action. That move has now pushed shares of NS within range of triggering a big breakout trade. That trade will hit if NS manages to take out its 200-day moving average at $45.32 to some past overhead resistance levels at $45.56 to $46.19 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in NS as long as it's trending above $42 and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that's near or above 425,063 shares. If that breakout hits soon, then NS will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $50 to $52.50.

Dr Pepper Snapple Group

Dr Pepper Snapple Group (DPS) is an integrated brand owner, manufacturer and distributor of non-alcoholic beverages in the U.S., Canada and Mexico, including 7 UP, A&W, Canada Dry, Clamato and Dr Pepper. This stock closed up 2.4% at $46.49 in Wednesday's trading session.

Wednesday's Volume: 2.68 million

Three-Month Average Volume: 1.31 million

Volume % Change: 135%

>>5 Stocks Poised for Breakouts

From a technical perspective, DPS spiked higher here right off its 200-day moving average of $45.34 with strong upside volume. This move also pushed shares of DPS into breakout territory, since the stock took out some near-term overhead resistance at $46.11. This move is quickly pushing shares of DPS within range of triggering another big breakout trade. That trade will hit if DPS manages to take out Wednesday's high of $46.82, and then once it clears some past overhead resistance at $47.24 to $47.90 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in DPS as long as it's trending above that first breakout level of $46.11 or above its 200-day at $45.35 and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels volume that's near or above 1.31 million shares. If that breakout hits soon, then DPS will set up to re-test or possibly take out its 52-week high at $50.37. Shares of DPS could even tag $53 to $55 if it clears its 52-week high with volume.

Allegheny Technologies

Allegheny Technologies (ATI) is a specialty metal producer in the world. This stock closed up 1.9% at $33.42 in Wednesday's trading session.

Wednesday's Volume: 4.16 million

Three-Month Average Volume: 1.39 million

Volume % Change: 190%

>>5 Stocks Under $10 to Trade for Breakouts

From a technical perspective, ATI trended modestly higher here right above some near-term support at $30.50 with above-average volume. This move is quickly pushing shares of ATI within range of triggering a big breakout trade. That trade will hit if ATI manage to take out its 52-week high at $34.18 to some past overhead resistance at $35.94 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in ATI as long as it's trending above $32 or $31, and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that hits near or above 1.39 million shares. If that breakout hits soon, then ATI will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels $43 to $44.

Hexcel

Hexcel (HXL) develops, manufactures and markets composites, including carbon fibers, reinforcements, prepregs, honeycomb, adhesives and composite structures, for use in commercial aerospace, space, defense and industrial applications. This stock closed up 2.6% at $42.04 in Wednesday's trading session.

Wednesday's Volume: 1.43 million

Three-Month Average Volume: 473,743

Volume % Change: 220%

>>5 Hated Earnings Stocks You Should Love

From a technical perspective, HXL spiked higher here right above some near-term support at $40 with heavy upside volume. This stock has been uptrending strong for the last six months, with shares soaring higher from its low of $30 to its recent high of $43. During that uptrend, shares of HXL have been consistently making higher lows and higher highs, which is bullish technical price action. That move has now pushed shares of HXL within range of triggering a near-term breakout trade. That trade will hit if HXL manages to take out Wednesday's high of $42.57 to its 52-week high at $43 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in HXL as long as it's trending above $41 or $40 and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that's near or above 473,743 shares. If that breakout hits soon, then HXL will set up to enter new 52-week high territory, which is bullish technical price action. Some possible upside targets off that breakout are $48 to $50.

BBCN Bancorp

BBCN Bancorp (BBCN), a bank holding company, offers commercial banking and, to a lesser extent, consumer financial services through its wholly owned subsidiary, BBCN Bank. This stock closed up 4.2% at $15.27 in Wednesday's trading session.

Wednesday's Volume: 1.27 million

Three-Month Average Volume: 415,740

Volume % Change: 231%

>>5 Dogs of the Dow to Stomp the Market

From a technical perspective, BBCN spiked higher here with strong upside volume. This stock has been uptrending for the last two months, with shares moving higher from its low of $13.05 to its recent high of $15.50. During that move, shares of BBCN have been consistently making higher lows and higher highs, which is bullish technical price action. That move has now pushed shares of BBCN within range of triggering a big breakout trade. That trade will hit if BBCN manages to take out some key overhead resistance levels at $15.50 to its 52-week high at $16 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in BBCN as long as it's trending above some near-term support at $14.50 or its 50-day at $14.04 and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that hits near or above 415,740 shares. If that breakout hits soon, then BBCN will set up to enter new 52-week-high territory, which is bullish technical price action. Some possible upside targets off that breakout are $19 to $20.

To see more stocks rising on unusual volume, check out the Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume portfolio on Stockpickr.

-- Written by Roberto Pedone in Delafield, Wis.


RELATED LINKS:



>>5 Sin Stocks to Protect Your Portfolio



>>Do You Own These Blue-Chips? Sell Them!



>>4 Stocks Under $10 Making Big Moves

Follow Stockpickr on Twitter and become a fan on Facebook.

At the time of publication, author had no positions in stocks mentioned.

Roberto Pedone, based out of Delafield, Wis., is an independent trader who focuses on technical analysis for small- and large-cap stocks, options, futures, commodities and currencies. Roberto studied international business at the Milwaukee School of Engineering, and he spent a year overseas studying business in Lubeck, Germany. His work has appeared on financial outlets including

CNBC.com and Forbes.com. You can follow Pedone on Twitter at www.twitter.com/zerosum24 or @zerosum24.


Wednesday, October 23, 2013

Amazon Raising Its Free-Shipping Threshold From $25 to $35

Inside An Amazon.com Distribution Center On Cyber MondayDavid Paul Morris/Bloomberg via Getty Images

Bad news, Amazon fans: The site is making it a little harder to score free shipping. For the first time in over a decade, Amazon (AMZN) is raising the minimum purchase necessary to get your order shipped for free. The usual $25 threshold for free "Super Saver" shipping is going up to $35, effective immediately. "Amazon's minimum order size for free shipping has changed to $35," the company said in a brief announcement on its site. "This is the first time in more than a decade that Amazon has altered the minimum order for free shipping in the US. During that time, we have expanded free shipping selection by millions of items across all 40 product categories." Luke Knowles of FreeShipping.org told us he was surprised by the move, noting that it's difficult to raise a free-shipping threshold once customers have gotten used to it. "I guess it's probably just that they're not making enough money," he says. "They think they've already got the customer locked in to shopping with them."

That makes sense. Amazon's profit margins are notoriously thin, and shipping isn't cheap; raising the minimum allows the company to stop paying for shipping on small purchases, and may encourage some shoppers to add more to their carts, boosting sales figures. When we reached out to Amazon to see if we could find out more about the change, a spokesperson simply emphasized that the minimum has been set at $25 for more than a decade. That's fair: It makes sense that the cutoff for free shipping should rise with inflation. Still, the change comes as competitors like Barnes and Noble have set their own free-shipping cutoff at $25 and others have ditched minimum purchase requirements altogether; if these companies don't follow suit, that's a competitive advantage over Amazon that they're sure to emphasize to shoppers during the holiday season. There is perhaps one other reason why this move makes sense for Amazon. In its announcement, Amazon noted that "Millions of Amazon customers have already made the choice of faster shipping by becoming Amazon Prime members." Prime, it emphasized, carries no such minimum purchase requirements. That little aside is significant. By making it a little tougher for people to get free shipping, Amazon might convince more of them to pony up the $79 a year to sign up for Prime -- a plan which gives them even more reason to shop loyally at Amazon.

Tuesday, October 22, 2013

Not Everyone's Lovin' It

Even though it is, and will probably always be, the world's largest chain of hamburger fast food restaurants in the world, the forecast for this company's growth has started to look a little bleak, writes MoneyShow's Jim Jubak, also of Jubak's Picks.

McDonald's (MCD) customers are getting squeezed and so, therefore, is McDonald's.

For the third quarter, comparable store sales grew by just 0.7% in the United States. That's down from 1% comparable store sales growth in the second quarter. Global comparable sales climbed by 0.9%. Wall Street had been expecting 1% growth.

McDonald's did beat analyst earnings estimates of $1.52 a share by a penny, but that wasn't enough to offset a rather gloomy forecast for growth. In October, the company said it expects flat comparable store sales. The shares finished down 0.64% at the close on October 21.

In the United States, new menu items such as pumpkin-spice lattes and Mighty Wings didn't draw enough new spending to offset the company's need to focus on value pricing, as lower income customers continue to cut their spending. The problem seems to be worse, though, than at competitors. Wall Street analysts project that McDonald's will grow revenue by just 2.4% in 2013, compared to the National Restaurant Association's estimate of 4.9% growth for the US quick-service dining sector.

Reflecting those problems, operating margin at McDonald's company-owned restaurants fell to 18.7% in the quarter, from 19.1% in the third quarter of 2012.

Unfortunately, the company's US customers aren't the only ones feeling squeezed, or the only ones cutting their spending. In Europe, comparable store sales climbed 0.2%. In the Asia/Pacific, Middle East, and Africa region, comparable store sales fell 1.4% in the quarter and operating income dropped 12%, mostly thanks to unfavorable exchange rates. (In constant currencies, operating income fell just 4%.)

The company didn't offer investors any immediate cheer. In the fourth quarter, McDonald's expects comparable store sales growth to be in line with results in recent quarters and margins would fall, the company said, at something like recent rates of decline. Commodity costs, up 2.5% in the third quarter in the United States, won't help: For the full year, commodity costs will climb 1.5% to 2%, the company said. Currency effects will take five to six cents out of 2013 earnings per share.

Full disclosure: I don't own shares of any of the companies mentioned in this post in my personal portfolio. When in 2010 I started the mutual fund I manage, Jubak Global Equity Fund, I liquidated all my individual stock holdings and put the money into the fund. The fund did not own shares of McDonald's as of the end of June. For a complete list of the fund's holdings as of the end of June see the fund's portfolio here.

Monday, October 21, 2013

Schaeffer's Contrarian Trio

A number of equities have seen significant spikes in short interest during the most recent reporting period; here we look at three outperformers, all of which could benefit from this increase in skepticism, says technician Terri Stridsberg, in Schaeffer Investment Research.

Dollar Tree (DLTR), has had a banner 2013, gaining 45.3% year-to-date, and tagging a new record high of $59.68. Nevertheless, short interest skyrocketed by close to 398% over the most recent reporting period, and now accounts for a healthy 6.7% of the equity's available float.

It would take more than seven days to cover these shorted shares, at the stock's average pace of trading—more than enough sideline cash to fuel a short-covering rally.

Meanwhile, data shows a 10-day put/call volume ratio of 1.46 for Dollar Tree, Inc., confirming puts bought to open have outstripped calls during the last two weeks.

This ratio ranks higher than 96% of similar readings taken within the past year, meaning traders have been picking up puts over calls at a near-annual-high clip. An unwinding of these bearish bets could help propel the shares even higher from their current perch.

HCA Holdings Inc. (HCA) has also been a standout on the charts this year, boasting a 2013 advance of nearly 55%—and besting the broader S&P 500 Index (SPX) by roughly 17 percentage points during the most recent three-month time frame—to trade at $46.67.

However, skeptics remain undaunted, as short interest surged by 30% over the course of the last two weeks. With a respectable 3.5% of the security's float now sold short—the equivalent of 9.5 million shares—an exodus by the bears could trigger a short-squeeze situation.

Also of note, Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio for HCA sits at 1.61, indicating puts outnumber calls among options scheduled to expire in the next three months.

This ratio registers in the 94th percentile of its annual range, signaling near-term traders have rarely been more put-focused toward the stock during the past 52 weeks.

If these bearish traders capitulate to HCA's positive price action, the unwinding of these near-term puts could provide an options-related boost.

Not to be outdone, Diana Shipping (DSX) has trekked 67.5% higher so far this year, and sports a 52-week gain of more than 72% to wink at the $12.20 level. Even so, the equity saw a 28.2% rise in short interest during the second half of September, and a 35.1% surge during the past two reporting periods.

Since these pessimistic bets now make up 4.8% of the stock's available float, a wave of future short-covering activity could serve as a tailwind for DSX down the road.

Further evidence of the doubt surrounding Diana Shipping Inc. lies in the fact that only three analysts have deemed the equity worthy of a strong buy endorsement, compared to five holds and two strong sell recommendations.

Adding insult to injury, Thomson Reuters shows an average 12-month price target of $11.48 for the shipping firm, denoting a discount to the stock's current price.

In other words, a round of upgrades and/or price-target hikes could be on the horizon for the security, which could add more fuel to DSX's contrarian tank.

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Sunday, October 20, 2013

Microsoft Backtracks on Xbox One DRM: Will It Matter?

In a stunning reversal, Microsoft's  (NASDAQ: MSFT  ) Interactive Entertainment president Don Mattrick yesterday announced two key changes to Mr. Softy's plans for the next-generation Xbox One gaming console.

Go ahead, unplug
First, after a one-time setup process is complete, an Internet connection will no longer be required to play Xbox One games offline. Now, Mattrick says, "you can take your Xbox One anywhere you want and play your games, just like on Xbox 360."

When Microsoft initially unveiled its new console, frustrated gamers were told their flexibility would be hampered as the device would need to be connected to the Internet at least once every 24 hours for validation purposes.

In fact, in an interview filmed just before Microsoft's E3 2013 press briefing last week, Mattrick responded to gamers' criticisms by bluntly stating, "Fortunately, we have a product for people who aren't able to get some form of connectivity; it's called the Xbox 360. If you have zero access to the Internet, that is an offline device."

Share to your heart's content
Second, Mattrick also stated, "There will be no limitations to using and sharing games. It will work just as it does today on Xbox 360." In other words, you'll still be able to "trade-in, lend, resell, gift, and rent disc-based games just like you do today."

That's a big change from Microsoft's previous assertion dictating gamers would be only able to share their games with up to 10 people through a "family" sharing plan, enabling any of those 10 people to access the shared games digitally through their own Xbox live consoles. What's more, while Microsoft was planning to allow people to gift games to friends, they said each game could only be gifted once, and could only be done for people on your friends list for more than 30 days.

That was a smidge too complicated for many gamers' tastes. On the flip side, however, this also means Xbox One will now require disc-based games to remain in the tray during gameplay, and gamers won't be allowed an avenue for sharing downloaded titles as Microsoft had originally planned.

Who wins?
So who gains the most from these decisions?

First, it should come as no surprise that shares of used-game specialist GameStop (NYSE: GME  ) climbed more than 6% during Thursday trading. After all, GameStop has struggled the past few years, thanks largely to the rise of mobile and cloud-based gaming devices. As a result, GameStop investors have eagerly awaited a fresh revenue stream from next-gen gaming consoles.

Needless to say, then, Microsoft's original plans had the retailer worried. While Microsoft's change of heart certainly doesn't assure physical media will stick around indefinitely, the move definitely grants GameStop a temporary reprieve.

Of course, Microsoft is also hoping it will be able to win back gamers' affections. And, to be sure, Microsoft's attempt to please gamers is understandable -- if gamers were already annoyed at what they perceived as unpalatable restrictions on content, they were appalled when they learned the console would cost a whopping $499.

Those frustrations boiled over after Sony  (NYSE: SNE  )  stepped out last week with its Playstation 4 and undercut the Xbox One's price by a full $100. Even worse, Sony confirmed during the conference its new console would not only fully support used games, but also would not require online check-ins. In Microsoft's defense, however,  the Xbox One will come with an integrated new Kinect motion sensor, which typically costs more than $100 itself in addition to the current Xbox 360 platform. The $399 Playstation 4, for its part, will not include Sony's respective "Playstation Eye" accessory. 

Even so, when Amazon.com decided to run a seven-day Facebook poll during last week's conference to see which console consumers were more interested in, they ended up closing it after only three days when voters overwhelmingly favored Sony's Playstation 4 by a startling 18 to 1 margin.

But the question remains: Is Microsoft's concession too little, too late? After all, just a few days ago Sony told The Wall Street Journal it was increasing its internal sales projections for the PS4 based on strong pre-order activity, at the same time admitting "demand may well outstrip supply."

But what do you think? With both consoles presumably set to go on sale in time for this year's holiday season, do you think there's still time for Microsoft convince consumers the Xbox One is worth their dollars?

More expert advice from The Motley Fool
It's been a frustrating path for Microsoft investors, who've watched the company fail to capitalize on the incredible growth in mobile over the past decade. However, with the release of its own tablet, along with the widely anticipated Windows 8 operating system, the company is looking to make a splash in this booming market. In a new premium report on Microsoft, a Motley Fool analyst explains that while the opportunity is huge, so are the challenges. The report includes regular updates as key events occur, so make sure to claim a copy of this report now by clicking here.

Saturday, October 19, 2013

How green is the new BMW i3 electric car?

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ANAHEIM, Calif. -- The new BMW i3 electric car made makes its official U.S. debut this weekend at the Orange County International Auto Show here.

What showgoers may not realize, however, is how far BMW went to make their green car even greener:

•Jacob Harb, head of electric vehicles in the U.S. for BMW, says that the carbon fiber for the car -- its lightest since the 1991 3 Series sedan -- is sourced from a plant in Moses Lake, Wash., that gets its electricity from hydro.

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•The instrument panel surround and door trim fibers from a fast-growing Kenaf plant and the wood is from "reponsibly forested" eucalyptus trees.

•A quarter of the plastic used in interior comes from recycled materials.

•The car is assembled in a German plant that is powered by wind-generated electricity.

•Olive-leaf extract is used to tan interior leather surfaces.

As great as all that sounds, we suspect in the end, it's the looks and design that will attract visitors to the auto show. In orange, it's quite the looker.

Thursday, October 17, 2013

Stocks To Watch For October 17, 2013

Hot Heal Care Companies To Watch In Right Now

Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:

Wall Street expects Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE: GS) to report its Q3 earnings at $2.43 per share on revenue of $7.36 billion. Goldman Sachs shares

eBay (NASDAQ: EBAY) issued a weak forecast for the fourth quarter. eBay shares tumbled 4.28% to $51.23 in the after-hours trading session.

Analysts are expecting Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) to have earned $10.35 per share on revenue of $14.82 billion in the third quarter. Google shares fell 0.45% to $894.03 in after-hours trading.

International Business Machines (NYSE: IBM) reported downbeat third-quarter revenue. IBM shares declined 6.19% to $175.17 in the after-hours trading session.

Analysts expect Verizon Communications (NYSE: VZ) to report its Q3 earnings at $0.74 per share on revenue of $30.16 billion. Verizon shares rose 0.44% to $47.46 in after-hours trading.

Posted-In: Stocks To WatchEarnings News Guidance Pre-Market Outlook Markets Trading Ideas

(c) 2013 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.

  Around the Web, We're Loving... Learn to Use Trading Platforms Like Hedge Fund Traders do Rumsfeld: Denial of Benefits to Fallen Soldiers' Families 'Inexcusable' Come See How the Pro's Trade in this Exclusive Webinar Facebook, Baidu Lead Big Caps Beating Shutdown What Should You Know About AMZN? Most Popular UPDATE: SolarCity Confirms Pricing of 3.4M Share Offering at $46.54/Share Trouble Brewing Under the Hood For The S&P 500? UPDATE: Credit Suisse Downgrades Teradata Corporation as Reacceleration is Postponed Intel Jumps After Earnings Beat (INTC) Yahoo Soars After Q3 EPS Earnings Beat (YHOO) Leon Cooperman's Top Stock Picks (QCOM, S) Related Articles (EBAY + GOOG) Stocks To Watch For October 17, 2013 eBay Drops After Earnings Beat, Weak Guidance (EBAY) Google Earnings Preview: Reading Between the Lines Google Play App Revenue Grows Still Trails Apple App Store (AAPL, GOOG) Ireland to Close Tax Loopholes Market Primer: Wednesday, October 16: Markets Wobble On Debt Deal Setback View the discussion thread. Partner Network #marketfy-ae-block { display: none; border: 2px solid #0a3f75; overflow: hidden; width: 300px; height: 125px; text-align: center; background-color: #45719E; position: relative; z-index: 1; } #marketfy-ae-block a { display: block; width: 300px; height: 125px; position: relative; z-index: 2; color: #ffffff; text-decoration: none; } #marketfy-ae-block-countdown-text { color: #f9fc99; padding: 0px 0 0 0; font-size: 19px; font-weight: bold; line-height: 19px; } #marketfy-ae-block-countdown-text-start { font-size: 12px; } #marketfy-ae-block-countdown { padding: 5px 0 5px 0; font-size: 26px; } #marketfy-ae-block-signup { padding: 5px 47px; } #marketfy-ae-block-signup:hover { background-color: #457a1a; } #marketfy-ae-block #marketfy-ae-block-logo { display: block; padding: 3px 0 0 0; margin: 0; } #marketfy-ae-block-logo { text-indent: -9999px; } #marketfy-ae-block-free { display: block; position: absolute; top: 7px; right: -23px; width: 80px; height: 16px; line-height: 16px; text-align: center; opacity: 1; -webkit-transform: rotate(45deg); -moz-transform: rotate(45deg); -ms-transform: rotate(45deg); transform: rotate(45deg); font-size: 13px; font-weight: normal; color: #333333; background-color: yellow; z-index: 500; text-shadow: 1px 1px #999999; } #marketfy-ae-block-arrow { position: relative; width: 60px; height: 60px; z-index: 10; margin: -80px 0 13px -21px; } #marketfy-ae-block-arrow img { height: 60px; width: auto; } Marketfy's International
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Tuesday, October 15, 2013

Stocks Cut Losses as Debt Deal Appears Less Elusive

After being down more than 100 points this morning, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has bounced back is now down just 13 points, or 0.1%, at 15,224, while the S&P 500 is off 0.1 % at 1,701.95.

Getty Images

The bounce is being attributed to headlines quoting Senator Harry Reid as saying, “we’re getting close.” It also helps that President Barack Obama has called together Democrats and Republicans for a meeting this afternoon at the White House.

The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY), which had been down as much as 0.8%, is now little changed at $60.78, while the Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) is off just 0.2% at $20.27.  Hardest hit is the Utilities Select Sector SPDR (XLU), which has dropped 1.2% to $37.67. The Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK) is the top performer: It’s up 0.1% at $32.49.

Monday, October 14, 2013

What Trading Will Look Like 50 Years From Now

I recently met up with Art Cashin, director of floor operations at UBS and a regular on CNBC for years, on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange.

Cashin has worked in the NYSE for nearly 50 years. During our talk he told a few amazing stories about how the place has changed during that time.

So I asked: How does he expect trading to change over the next 50 years? Here's what he had to say (transcript follows):

Morgan Housel: You've been here for about 50 years. What changes do you anticipate will take place over the next 50 years?

Arthur Cashin: That might be a bit of a fool's game, because I'm not sure that 30 years ago I would have accurately predicted where we've been. Obviously the move toward more and more technology and mechanization will be there. We're seeing growth in areas like artificial intelligence. There are away from this business things like hospitals turning their entire pharmacy departments over to a computer because the computer doesn't make simple human errors of misreading and mistyping. Can those improvements help here? Possibly, but having seen things like the Flash Crash, I want to make sure I see those checks and balances.

So I'd like to believe that it will broaden. That globally we will find a financial system that meshes together very, very well, but as again being prejudiced and being a human, I'd like to believe there'll be some two-legged folks running around at the end, still saying, Check the system and make sure it works.

Thursday, October 10, 2013

Students get crafty to break into business usin…

Opening a lemonade stand is for amateurs.

"I have teenage daughters, and one has a friend who makes bracelets and sells them on Etsy," said Frank Rimalovski, executive director of the New York University Entrepreneurial Institute. "She's all of 16."

The rise of online shopping has made the dream of starting a business a reality for young entrepreneurs.

For newcomers to the retail world, the cost of entry used to be more than they could overcome, said Scott Gerber, founder of the Young Entrepreneur Council.

For just 20 cents, users can list a product on Etsy, an online marketplace for handmade goods, with little technical skill.

"You can have a business up and running in less than 24 hours," Gerber said. "It puts sellers on an even playing field with bigger companies."

By offering a built-in community, sites like Etsy give young sellers an immediate in, he said.

Lauri Smedley, a business professor at Sacramento City College and author of Virtual Entrepreneurship: Creating and Operating a Home-based Online Business, said college crafters used to be limited to selling at craft fairs and vendor events.

"With sites like Etsy, the things they create businesswise they can spread to tens of thousands," she said. "It makes them global players."

This reach translates to a higher chance of success, and for Smedley's students — many of whom rely on financial assistance — it makes a difference in paying for their education.

Lulu Rolando, 20, first started using Etsy to find products related to her favorite Japanese animated TV shows. But when she started school at Orlando's Valencia College in January, she needed a job to get by.

"I picked up some clay and began to make elaborate horns and ears for people to wear, and my business took off," Rolando said. "I pay my bills and get to have fun."

Selling mosaics online gave Sierra Margolies, 19, a manageable way to squeeze another form of income into her hectic class and work schedule.

"I h! ave an app for Etsy, so even when I'm not at home, I can check if people are ordering," the Florida State University sophomore said. "It's very easy to keep up with it."

Consumers are also increasingly relying on online shopping.

Forecasts from Forrester Research predict $262 billion in e-commerce sales this year, a 13% increase from 2012.

That number is expected to hit $370 billion by 2017.

To keep up with the shift toward online shopping, companies are adjusting sales tactics.

Neiman Marcus, an upscale department store, has started offering free standard shipping and returns on orders from its websites, and popular discount retailer T.J. Maxx opened an online store last month.

Even Etsy is making a change, announcing Tuesday that sellers can now apply to offer items made by "manufacturing partners," relaxing its policy that items must be handmade.

While some worry that the new policy will cause the site to lose its quirky appeal, Samantha Levin, 23, hopes the move will help her sell more of her sorority jewelry designs during the busy holiday season.

Levin said this entrepreneurial way of thinking is one of the biggest benefits she's taken from the website.

"From advertising to search engine optimization to photography, an Etsy seller needs to have the knowledge and the skills needed to properly market their shop," she said.

No matter a store's success, college-age store owners walk away a more desirable employee, Smedley said.

"How much more marketable is someone going to be if they can say, 'I have a degree, and I've also owned my own business'?" she said. "It's going to be a huge leg up."

Recognizing the importance of these skills, Dianne H.B. Welsh founded a cross-disciplinary entrepreneurship program at the University of North Carolina-Greensboro.

In the program, students run the Spartan Trader, a store that sells artwork created by students, faculty and staff from across the university.

Welsh said that pairing ar! ts- and b! usiness-minded education with experience outside the classroom gives students the practical knowledge they need to make their dreams feasible.

"I just really realized how much the artistic community needs this. They're great people — fun to be around — but they need help," she said. "We want to see all artists be successful, not just survive."

Programs like the one at UNC-Greensboro have been popping up nationwide, swelling in popularity over the last five years, Rimalovski said.

He said shows like Shark Tank, movies like The Social Network and media accounts of runaway success stories have given entrepreneurship an accessibility it didn't have when he was in school.

"In college, I don't think I knew what a start-up was," Rimalovski said. "I don't think it was in my vernacular in the '80s."

But for those without access to university programs, the online marketplace provides education on the cheap, said Gerber.

"It's a fundamental fact that at least a third of young people will be a freelancer or self-employed in their lifetime," he said. "Anything that will help them learn how to harness these entrepreneurial skills — whether they think they have them or not — as early as possible is beneficial."

Katelyn Palmer, 21, has been selling jewelry on Etsy for a little more than a year. The Liberty University junior said the site gave her the confidence that she didn't know she lacked.

"Entrepreneurs make up the world," Palmer said. "If people start their dreams on Etsy, then that's awesome."

Wednesday, October 9, 2013

Patch.com reporter faces jail for doing his job

Joseph Hosey is facing jail time for simply doing his job.

Hosey, a reporter for Patch.com in Illinois, has balked at an order to reveal the identity of a confidential source. As a result, Will County Judge Gerald Kinney found the journalist guilty of "minor direct criminal contempt." The judge says Hosey, a 10-year reporting veteran, must pay $1,000 in court costs, additional fines of $300 a day for three months and, after that, spend up to three months in jail.

Luckily, the penalty has been stayed while Hosey appeals. But that hardly alters the fact that the decision is a horrendous example of judicial overreaching. Especially since there is absolutely no indication that the information Hosey disclosed has had a negative impact on anything.

David Cuillier, president of the Society of Professional Journalists, has decried the ruling as "an absolute outrage and an affront to a free press and everything this nation holds dear." I couldn't agree more. Cuillier, a former reporter and editor who teaches journalism at the University of Arizona, says the situation is something he'd expect to encounter in a Third World nation, not in the great state of Illinois.

The episode comes in the midst of a very tough period for journalists seeking important but hard-to-come-by information and the people who provide it to them. The Obama administration has shown unprecedented zeal in clamping down on leakers, prosecuting a record-breaking number of people under the Espionage Act, of all things. And it is seeking to force New York Times reporter James Risen to reveal a secret source.

In the wake of a backlash against its heavy-handed tactics, the Justice Department drafted guidelines providing protection for reporters, and the White House called on Congress to pass a federal shield law that would in many cases safeguard sources' confidentiality. Sen. Charles Schumer, D-N.Y., the bill's chief sponsor, assured me awhile back that he's confident it will pass. But given what's happening on Capi! tol Hill these days, I wouldn't bet too heavily on much of anything getting done there.

And shield laws, while helpful, are hardly a panacea. Forty-eight states and the District of Columbia have such laws or court precedents that protect anonymity. In fact, Illinois is one of those states. And that makes Kinney's ruling even harder to fathom.

While named sources are always preferable, confidential sources have long played an important role in shedding light on things that the public needs to know. Watergate and the Pentagon Papers are high-profile examples, but there are countless other cases in which nameless whistle-blowers have exposed important abuses via the press. They are a lot less likely to blow those whistles if they think their names will become public.

Hosey's ordeal began earlier this year, when the Patch reporter posted a series of stories packed with vivid details about a particularly gruesome double murder in Joliet in January. The pieces were based in part on confidential police reports. Patch.com is a nationwide network of hyperlocal news sites owned by AOL.

A lawyer for one of the defendants, arguing that the articles could taint the jury pool, asked Kinney to make Hosey reveal his source. The court collected more than 500 sworn statements from employees of the Joliet Police Department, the Will County State's Attorney's office and lawyers in the case. To the surprise of absolutely no one, all denied that they anything to do with the leak.

The judge ordered Hosey to turn over all the documents he has relating to the double murder. And if those don't reveal the source, he said Hosey will have to do it. Commendably, the reporter demurred.

Deciding cases like this one is generally a balancing act, in which the judge has to decide whether there is such an overarching need to unmask the source that it outweighs First Amendment and freedom of information concerns. Chuck Tobin, one of the nation's top media lawyers, is hard-pressed to see what that could! be in th! is instance.

"The identity of the person who leaked the police reports to the Patch won't help the court decide whether the defendants are guilty or innocent of these terrible murders," says the Washington, D.C.-based attorney. "So there doesn't seem to be any interest in this case that would outweigh the public's interest, under the Illinois shield law, in helping reporters honor their promises to sources."

He adds, "The leaked records here were police reports about one of the most grisly crimes in recent history. No news organization or journalist should face punitive fines and jail for revealing information so obviously in the public interest."

Lucy Dalglish, the former longtime head of the Reporters Committee for Freedom of the Press, points to a a couple of factors that may have swayed the judge. First of all, she says, jurists tend to give a lot of leeway when such requests come from the defense, given the Sixth Amendment's fair trial imperative.

Also, Kinney may feel that grand jury secrecy has been compromised, and judges hate it when that happens, adds Dalglish, now dean of the Philip Merrill College of Journalism at the University of Maryland.

That said, Dalglish says that, like Tobin, she doesn't see how the outcome of the case could be affected by uncovering the leaker. It simply puts a chill on free speech.

Let's hope cooler heads prevail and the appellate court throws out this punitive order. It's the right thing to do.

Tuesday, October 8, 2013

3 Mortgage Stocks to Buy Now

RSS Logo Portfolio Grader Popular Posts: 7 Biotechnology Stocks to Buy Now17 Oil and Gas Stocks to Sell Now4 Pharmaceutical Stocks to Buy Now Recent Posts: 3 Mortgage Stocks to Buy Now 3 Mortgage Stocks to Buy Now 4 Capital Markets Stocks to Sell Now View All Posts

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The grades of three Mortgage stocks are better this week, according to the Portfolio Grader database. Every one of these stocks has an “A” (“strong buy”) or “B” overall (“buy”) rating.

Radian Group (NYSE:) is making progress this week as its rating of C (“hold”) from last week increases to a B (“buy”) rating this week. Radian Group provides credit-related insurance coverage and financial services to mortgage lenders and other financial institutions. In Portfolio Grader’s specific subcategory of Earnings Revisions, RDN also gets an A. .

This week, Home Bancorp, Inc. (NASDAQ:) pushes up from a C to a B rating. Home Bancorp is a federally chartered mutual savings bank. .

WSFS Financial Corporation (NASDAQ:) gets a higher grade this week, advancing from a C last week to a B. WSFS Financial is a savings and loan holding company, which provides residential and commercial real estate, commercial and consumer lending services, as well as retail deposit and cash management services. .

Louis Navellier’s proprietary Portfolio Grader stock ranking system assesses roughly 5,000 companies every week based on a number of fundamental and quantitative measures. Stocks are given a letter grade based on their results — with A being “strong buy,” and F being “strong sell.” Explore the tool here.

Monday, October 7, 2013

Help clients prepare for hurricane season now

One of the biggest news stories of last year was Hurricane Sandy, which wiped out entire communities along the New Jersey shore and methodically brought New York City and parts of New England to their knees in late October. It led to more than 250 deaths, damaged countless homes and small businesses, and forced many to go without power or access to basic services for weeks. In all, the storm caused nearly $70 billion in damage.

While this experience was unforgettable, it is important to remember that it was by no means a one-time-thing only.

With hurricane season upon us once again, it is important to remember one of the enduring lessons of Hurricane Sandy: Natural disasters no longer discriminate on the basis of geography. Indeed, whereas conventional wisdom once confined them to the Gulf of Mexico or the Atlantic Coast of Florida, these powerful storms are capable of making landfall in regions of the country never before thought possible.

In very much the same way, tornadoes, major floods and wildfires have seemingly become more numerous and intense, affecting areas and inflicting harm in places previously unaccustomed to their wrath. As a result, Americans, coast to coast, are more vulnerable to dangerous storms and other acts of God than ever before.

With a practice based in Lafayette, La., we know all too well the potential perils associated with natural disasters, having borne the brunt of a series of powerful and damaging storms in recent years – including Hurricane Katrina, the most destructive hurricane ever to come ashore in the United States. In this part of the country, disaster preparedness is a way of life, and, thus, has to be a crucial element of any comprehensive wealth management strategy. And if recent weather trends hold, advisors nationwide will need to begin educating their clients on the importance of incorporating disaster preparedness into their financial plans as well.

Here are four best practices for advisors seeking to help clients adequately address potential natural disasters:

Maintain proper insurance coverage, especially for clients who are small business owners

Virtually all homeowners are required to have some sort of insurance on their property. It is, however, important to note that not all policies are created equally. Though many simply assume that practically all types of damage is covered, the fact remains that most policies contain exclusions, and there is no more inopportune time to find out about a gap in coverage than where there is five inches of standing water in your living room.

Therefore, it is the duty of every wealth manager to make sure their clients understand precisely what type of insurance coverage they have and whether it is appropriate. This is especially important for clients that are small business owners, each of which must have business continuation insurance to pay bills, cover salaries and keep valuable employees.

Establish an emergency liquidity fu! nd

Clients should have at least six months' worth of easily accessible reserves. And if they don't already, help them come up with a plan to get there as soon as possible, even if it means converting long-term, relatively illiquid assets into vehicles that can be turned into cash quickly. When it comes to dealing with emergencies, long-term security is great, but short-term solvency should win out every time.

Always have cash on hand

While liquidity is one thing, cash on hand is another. As the victims of Sandy have found out, restoring power after a natural disaster can often prove difficult and fleeting, and when businesses are off the grid debit and credit cards are essentially worthless. Each family should have at least $1,000 per person of cash on hand to survive a potential currency-based economy.

Store critical documents properly

Counsel your clients against storing Social Security cards, passports, wills and important medical papers in a safety deposit box at the local bank – These are highly unlikely to remain open in an emergency situation, when you might need these documents the most. Such items should instead be placed in a fire-and flood-proof safe in their own home, where they will much more accessible that in a local bank branch during a natural disaster.

While the domestic economy is still confronted with considerable headwinds that are constraining growth in many areas, equities have showed continued strength since the beginning – which has compelled many investors to plunge back into the markets, creating more opportunity for the indus

Sunday, October 6, 2013

Is Star Bulk Carriers Too Hot to Handle Today? (SBLK)

I'll warn you now that if you're a fan or shareholder of Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (NASDAQ:SBLK), then you're not going to like what you're about to read. Before you fly off into a tirade of "colorful" descriptions of me, however, know that this is neither a judgment call on the company itself, nor a long-term outlook. It's simply a trading-based observation of hints that SBLK has dropped today. Fair enough? OK, let's dig in.

If you were lucky enough to be in a SBLK position before today, then congratulations - you're now up at least 10% since mid-July. And, if you were in a position as of mid-July, then you're easily up 40%, if not more. No matter when you got into your Star Bulk Carriers position though, it's time to get out.

Too many of the tell-tale signs are already in place, like the shape of today' bar (so far). If Star Bulk Carriers Corp. shares were to stop trading right now, we'd have formed what's called a gravestone doji where the open and close are both right around the low of a very tall daily bar. The gravestone shape suggests a transition from a net-buying to a net-selling environment, all within in session.

The opening gap from this morning is working against SBLK too. Generally speaking, the market doesn't like to leave open gaps, meaning we're likely to see at least enough bearish pressure put on the stock here to fill in the gap left by Monday's high of $7.38 and today's low of $7.73. Problem is, if Star Bulk Carriers Corp. actually pulls back to $7.38, the sheer size of that stumble could spook traders into even more selling, and drive the stock all the way back to the $6.20-ish area before finding a floor.

Finally, the third clue that SBLK is topping out today is the sheer volume behind the big rally. Though we've not yet hit the peak volume from July 12th today, we're on pace to do so.

Volume spikes tend to accompany pivots for charts, turning downtrends into uptrends, and uptrends into downtrends. The volume surge is something of a flushout of the last of a trend's participants. In this case, it means the 'last hurrah' for the Star Bulk Carriers Corp. rally, and the transition into a pullback.

Again - and I can't stress this enough - this isn't a long-term call on the company. Star Bulk Carriers is a fine company, and the bullish jolt we've seen unfurl over the last two months is a solid long-term bullish clue. Now, however, is the worst time to jump on board. Wait for a revisit to the $6.00 before wading in.

If you'd like to get more trading ideas and insights like this, be sure to sign up for the free SmallCap Network newsletter today. You'll get stock picks, market calls, and more!

Friday, October 4, 2013

4 Stocks Under $10 Making Big Moves

DELAFIELD, Wis. (Stockpickr) -- At Stockpickr, we track daily portfolios of stocks that are the biggest percentage gainers and the biggest percentage losers.

>>5 Big Stocks to Trade (or Not)

Stocks that are making large moves like these are favorites among short-term traders because they can jump into these names and try to capture some of that massive volatility. Stocks that are making big-percentage moves either up or down are usually in play because their sector is becoming attractive or they have a major fundamental catalyst such as a recent earnings release. Sometimes stocks making big moves have been hit with an analyst upgrade or an analyst downgrade.

Regardless of the reason behind it, when a stock makes a large-percentage move, it is often just the start of a new major trend -- a trend that can lead to huge profits. If you time your trade correctly, combining technical indicators with fundamental trends, discipline and sound money management, you will be well on your way to investment success.

>>5 Stocks Insiders Love Right Now

With that in mind, let's take a closer look at a several stocks under $10 that are making large moves to the upside today.

Celsion

Celsion (CLSN) is an innovative oncology drug development company focused on the development of treatments for those suffering with difficult to treat forms of cancer. This stock closed up 4.1% to $1.25 in Thursday's trading session.

Thursday's Range: $1.17-$1.28

52-Week Range: $0.75-$9.44

Thursday's Volume: 2.97 million

Three-Month Average Volume: 1.93 million

From a technical perspective, CLSN spiked higher here right off its 50-day moving average of $1.20 with heavy upside volume. This move is quickly pushing shares of CLSN within range of triggering a major breakout trade. That trade will hit if CLSN manages to take out Thursday's high of $1.28 and then once it clears some key resistance levels at $1.47 to $1.55 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in CLSN as long as it's trending above some near-term support at $1.15 and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that hits near or above 1.93 million shares. If that breakout triggers soon, then CLSN will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $2 to $2.10.

Resolute Energy

Resolute Energy (REN) is an independent oil and gas company engaged in the exploration, exploitation and development of its oil and gas properties located in Utah, Wyoming, North Dakota and Texas. This stock closed up 6.3% to $9.37 in Thursday's trading session.

Thursday's Range: $8.67-$9.47

52-Week Range: $7.41-$11.56

Thursday's Volume: 1.32 million

Three-Month Average Volume: 487,792

From a technical perspective, REN ripped sharply higher here right off its 200-day moving average of $8.86 with heavy upside volume. This move pushed shares of REN into breakout territory, since the stock took out some near-term overhead resistance levels at $8.91 to 9.10. Shares of REN are now quickly moving within range of triggering another major breakout trade. That trade will hit if REN clears Thursday's high of $9.47 and then once it takes out some past overhead resistance at $9.79 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in REN as long as it's trending above its 200-day at $8.86 or above Thursday's low of $8.67 and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that hits near or above 487,792 shares. If that breakout triggers soon, then REN will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $10.25 to $11.

Investors Capital

Investors Capital (ICH) is a financial services holding company that provides broker-dealer services and investment advisory services. This stock closed up 2.1% to $6.59 in Thursday's trading session.

Thursday's Range: $6.35-$6.68

52-Week Range: $2.96-$8.90

Thursday's Volume: 99,000

Three-Month Average Volume: 17,988

From a technical perspective, ICH trended modestly higher here with above-average volume. This move is quickly pushing shares of ICH within range of triggering a near-term breakout trade. That trade will hit if ICH manages to take out some near-term overhead resistance at $6.80 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in ICH as long as it's trending above $6 or above $5.50 and then once it sustains a move or close above $6.80 with volume that hits near or above 17,988 shares. If that breakout triggers soon, then ICH will set up to re-test or possibly take out its 52-week high at $8.90.

OxiGene

OxiGene (OXGN) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company that develops novel therapeutics to treat cancer and eye diseases. This stock closed up 2.5% to $2.45 in Thursday's trading session.

Thursday's Range: $2.36-$2.56

52-Week Range: $2.03-$7.80

Thursday's Volume: 36,000

Three-Month Average Volume: 89,072

From a technical perspective, OXGN bounced modestly higher here right above some near-term support at $2.25 with lighter-than-average volume. This stock briefly flirted with its 50-day moving average at $2.50 on Thursday after it hit an intraday high of $2.56, but then closed just below that level at $2.45. Shares of OXGN also flirted with a near-term breakout trade, after it tested some resistance at $2.55.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in OXGN as long as it's trending above some key near-term support at $2.21 and then once it sustains a move or close above Thursday's high of $2.56 with volume that hits near or above 89,072 shares. If we get that move soon, then OXGN will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $2.98 to its 200-day moving average at $3.39. Any high-volume move above $3.39 will then give OXGN a chance to tag its next major overhead resistance level at $3.85.

To see more stocks that are making notable moves higher today, check out the Stocks Under $10 Moving Higher portfolio on Stockpickr.

-- Written by Roberto Pedone in Delafield, Wis.


RELATED LINKS:



>>4 Stocks Rising on Big Volume



>>5 Stocks Under $10 Set to Soar



>>5 Short-Squeeze Ready to Pop

Follow Stockpickr on Twitter and become a fan on Facebook.

At the time of publication, author had no positions in stocks mentioned.

Roberto Pedone, based out of Delafield, Wis., is an independent trader who focuses on technical analysis for small- and large-cap stocks, options, futures, commodities and currencies. Roberto studied international business at the Milwaukee School of Engineering, and he spent a year overseas studying business in Lubeck, Germany. His work has appeared on financial outlets including

CNBC.com and Forbes.com. You can follow Pedone on Twitter at www.twitter.com/zerosum24 or @zerosum24.


Thursday, October 3, 2013

4 Stocks Spiking on Unusual Volume

DELAFIELD, Wis. (Stockpickr) -- Professional traders running mutual funds and hedge funds don't just look at a stock's price moves; they also track big changes in volume activity. Often when above-average volume moves into an equity, it precedes a large spike in volatility.

>>5 Stocks Insiders Love Right Now

Major moves in volume can signal unusual activity, such as insider buying or selling -- or buying or selling by "superinvestors."

Unusual volume can also be a major signal that hedge funds and momentum traders are piling into a stock ahead of a catalyst. These types of traders like to get in well before a large spike, so it's always a smart move to monitor unusual volume. That said, remember to combine trend and price action with unusual volume. Put them all together to help you decipher the next big trend for any stock.

>>5 Trades to Take for October Gains

With that in mind, let's take a look at several stocks rising on unusual volume today.

Mazor Robotics

Mazor Robotics (MZOR) develops and markets surgical robots and complementing products for patients, surgeons, and OR staff. This stock closed up 6.9% to $18.99 in Wednesday's trading session.

Wednesday's Volume: 319,000

Three-Month Average Volume: 84,827

Volume % Change: 283%

>>5 Short-Squeeze Stocks Ready to Pop in October

From a technical perspective, MZOR soared higher here with heavy upside volume. This move pushed shares of MZOR into breakout and new all-time high territory, since the stock took out its previous high at $17.99. This stock has been uptrending strong for the last three months, with shares moving higher from its low of $11.67 to its intraday high of $19.48. During that move, shares of MZOR have been consistently making higher lows and higher highs, which is bullish technical price action.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in MZOR as long as it's trending above Wednesday's low of $17.81 or above $17 and then once it sustains a move or close above its new all-time high at $19.48 with volume that hits near or above 84,827 shares. If we get that move soon, then MZOR will set up to enter new all-time-high territory, which is bullish technical price action. Some possible upside targets off that breakout are $23 to $25.

Beacon Roofing Supply

Beacon Roofing Supply (BECN) is a distributor of residential and non-residential roofing materials in the U.S. and Canada. This stock closed up 1.8% at $34.89 in Wednesday's trading session.

Wednesday's Volume: 1.45 million

Three-Month Average Volume: 469,545

Volume % Change: 186%

>>5 Stocks Set to Soar on Bullish Earnings

From a technical perspective, BECN trended modestly higher here right above its recent low of $32.97 with above-average volume. This stock recently gapped down sharply from $37 to that low of $32.97 with heavy downside volume. Shares of BECN have now started to rebound off that low and move within range of triggering a near-term breakout trade. That trade will hit if BECN manages to take out its gap down day high of $35.34 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in BECN as long as it's trending above Wednesday's low of $33.82 or above that gap low of $32.97 and then once it sustains a move or close above $35.34 with volume that's near or above 469,545 shares. If that breakout hits soon, then BECN will set up to re-fill some of its previous gap down zone that started at $37. Any high-volume move above $37.50 to its 200-day at $37.78 will then give BECN a chance to tag $39 to $40.

Bitauto

Bitauto (BITA) is a provider of Internet content and marketing services for China's automotive industry. This stock closed up 7% at $19.22 in Wednesday's trading session.

Wednesday's Volume: 1.38 million

Three-Month Average Volume: 369,677

Volume % Change: 376%

>>4 Stocks Under $10 to Watch for Breakouts

From a technical perspective, BITA soared sharply higher here into new all-time high territory with monster upside volume. This stock has been uptrending strong for the last month and change, with shares moving higher from its low of $12.85 to its intraday high of $19.60. During that uptrend, shares of BITA have been consistently making higher lows and higher highs, which is bullish technical price action.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in BITA as long as it's trending above Wednesday's low of $17.67 or above $17 and then once it sustains a move or close above its new all-time high at $19.60 with volume that's near or above 369,677 shares. If that breakout hits soon, then BITA will set up to enter new all-time-high territory, which is bullish technical price action. Some possible upside targets off that move are $25 to $27.

Pandora Media

Pandora Media (P) provides internet radio services in USA. It has 175 million registered users. This stock closed up 5.3% at $26.89 in Wednesday's trading session.

Wednesday's Volume: 20 million

Three-Month Average Volume: 9.58 million

Volume % Change: 250%

>>5 Stocks Poised for Breakouts

From a technical perspective, P ripped sharply higher here right off some near-term support at $25 with monster upside volume. This move pushed shares of P into breakout territory, since the stock took out some near-term overhead resistance at $25.85. Shares of P are now quickly moving within range of triggering another big breakout trade. That trade will hit if P manages to take out its all-time high at $27.50 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in P as long as it's trending above $25 and then once it sustains a move or close above $27.50 with volume that's near or above 9.58 million shares. If that breakout hits soon, then P will set up to enter new all-time high territory, which is bullish technical price action. Some possible upside targets off that breakout are $30 to $33.

To see more stocks rising on unusual volume, check out the Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume portfolio on Stockpickr.

-- Written by Roberto Pedone in Delafield, Wis.


RELATED LINKS:



>>5 Stocks Under $10 Moving Higher



>>5 Rocket Stocks Worth Buying This Week



>>5 Hated Earnings Stocks You Should Love

Follow Stockpickr on Twitter and become a fan on Facebook.

At the time of publication, author had no positions in stocks mentioned.

Roberto Pedone, based out of Delafield, Wis., is an independent trader who focuses on technical analysis for small- and large-cap stocks, options, futures, commodities and currencies. Roberto studied international business at the Milwaukee School of Engineering, and he spent a year overseas studying business in Lubeck, Germany. His work has appeared on financial outlets including

CNBC.com and Forbes.com. You can follow Pedone on Twitter at www.twitter.com/zerosum24 or @zerosum24.


Tuesday, October 1, 2013

[video] Quick Take: Fed Puts Gold Bugs Back in Game

Best Cheap Companies To Buy For 2014

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- With the Federal Reserve's decision not to taper its asset purchases, gold is getting a nice boost.

Telling TheStreet's Gregg Greenberg his take on the yellow metal is Christopher Blasi, president of Neptune Global Holdings.

Gold prices are near $1,370 an ounce, and Blasi said the Fed is helping the metal's long-term move higher, after suffering a nasty correction earlier this year. Investors can gain exposure to gold by purchasing the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD).

Blasi also said the metal should be substantially higher in two to three years but may have some downward pressure in the next three to four months. Ultimately, when central banks print money, they weaken a nation's currency strength, subsequently weakening the purchasing power for assets such as gold. That means more money is required to buy the same amount of something -- for instance, an ounce of gold. However, Blasi said he expects that the U.S. dollar will get a bounce soon, which will put downward pressure on the precious metal. Overall, though, he expects gold to be just fine over the long haul. -- Written by Bret Kenwell in Petoskey, Mich. Follow @BretKenwell